Opinion polls suggest the vote will pass, with the last one, released Saturday, putting support at 61 percent.
Advocates say a “No” vote would leave Croatia stuck with struggling fellow ex-Yugoslav republics in the western Balkans, which was despoiled by war in the 1990s and is the sole part of southeastern Europe still outside the EU.
But some Croats fear a loss of sovereignty if the country joins now, after only twenty years as an independent state.
“Croatia will not lose its sovereignty or natural resources, nor will it be ruled by the EU,” President Ivo Josipovic declared in a written statement to the nation Saturday.
“Europe will not disentangle all our Problems, but it’s a great opportunity.”
The EU Union has announced Croatia can become its 28th member on July 1, 2013 after completing 7 years of tricky entry talks in June last year. It might become the second previous Yugoslav republic to join, following Slovenia in 2004.
The “No” camp is playing on worries of a wave of foreigners getting Croatian corporations and property in Croatia real estate. Some say the timing is all wrong and the EU is not what it was given the debt crisis that’s threatening the single currency.
Many complain they’re uncertain what membership will mean for the country of 4.3 million people.
CHURCH BACKING
“My son is all excited and popular, but I’m not,” said Jasna, a 46-year-old hairstylist from the capital, Zagreb. “There are so many things I don’t know and don’t know about the EU that I won’t vote ‘Yes’.”
The “Yes” camp this week won the endorsement of Croatia’s powerful Roman Catholic church as well as a previous wartime general on trial for war crimes but regarded by many Croats as a state hero.
“I will vote for membership of the EU because this is where we belong,” Ante Gotovina told state news agency Hina thru his barristers from the U.N. War crimes tribunal in The Hague.
Croatia broke away from Yugoslavia in a 1991-95 war, and then saw robust expansion on the back of foreign lending and waves of travellers to its shocking Adriatic coast.
But its economy has been hit hard by the world economic crisis. Analysts and govt. officials warn a refusal of EU advent Sun. would bring down the states credit score, deter investors and further moisten any prospect of a fast economic recovery.
If the ballot passes, all EU member states must ratify Croatia’s accession before it can join. It won’t join the euro zone yet.
Croatia’s current GDP per capita is 61 percent of the EU average. It expects some 450 million euros, or 1 % of its GDP, from EU funds for development projects in the first year alone.
“Croatia hasn’t got, and will not have any time soon, the money to build structure, develop rustic areas and finance labor market reforms,” said Zdravko Petak, a professor of political science in Zagreb.
“The only thing that may kickstart Croatia’s expansion is EU money,” he announced.
Voting starts at 7 a.m. ( 0600 GMT ) and ends at 7 p.m. ( 1800 GMT ). First results are anticipated roughly an hour after polls close as reported tagza.com.